Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.004459 0.004698 0.004943 0.005214 0.005506 0.005810 0.006153
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.004136 0.004503 0.004896 0.005352 0.005866 0.006432 0.007105
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003823 0.004250 0.004723 0.005287 0.005947 0.006698 0.007627
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003593 0.004061 0.004591 0.005240 0.006020 0.006934 0.008102
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003391 0.003886 0.004457 0.005170 0.006047 0.007102 0.008488
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003299 0.003830 0.004454 0.005249 0.006249 0.007483 0.009152
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003179 0.003732 0.004392 0.005247 0.006344 0.007729 0.009650
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003055 0.003621 0.004306 0.005207 0.006385 0.007900 0.010052
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002918 0.003487 0.004184 0.005113 0.006345 0.007959 0.010299
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002802 0.003375 0.004082 0.005039 0.006325 0.008040 0.010574
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002730 0.003314 0.004044 0.005044 0.006410 0.008261 0.011059
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002587 0.003157 0.003875 0.004867 0.006236 0.008116 0.010998
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002531 0.003112 0.003852 0.004887 0.006337 0.008363 0.011539
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002520 0.003125 0.003906 0.005013 0.006592 0.008843 0.012464
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002439 0.003043 0.003828 0.004954 0.006579 0.008929 0.012780
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002369 0.002973 0.003765 0.004911 0.006585 0.009043 0.013145
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002296 0.002896 0.003689 0.004847 0.006556 0.009100 0.013417
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002275 0.002889 0.003708 0.004919 0.006732 0.009478 0.014248
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002230 0.002848 0.003678 0.004917 0.006796 0.009683 0.014795
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002175 0.002792 0.003626 0.004881 0.006804 0.009799 0.015193
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002108 0.002715 0.003542 0.004795 0.006730 0.009777 0.015344
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002049 0.002649 0.003472 0.004726 0.006682 0.009794 0.015564
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002015 0.002619 0.003451 0.004731 0.006749 0.010003 0.016150